Graduate Students Conduct Late-October Poll of 500 Likely Maryland Voters

Students in the Department of Government and Politics' Applied Political Analytics Program asked Marylanders about their thoughts on the Maryland Senate race, the presidential election, reproductive freedom and more—just two weeks before Election Day.

Working with the public opinion firm YouGov, the student researchers polled 500 likely Maryland voters online between Oct. 23-27, 2024, and they found that Prince George's County executive Angela Alsobrooks (D) holds a 23 percentage-point lead over former Maryland governor Larry Hogan (R) in the race to fill the state's open U.S. Senate seat. 

The students also found that the share of respondents who said they would vote for Larry Hogan (33.9%), is equal to the share of respondents who said they would vote for Donald Trump (R) for president over Kamala Harris (D). With 60.9% of respondents saying they would vote for Kamala Harris for president, however, the poll revealed that Kamala Harris holds a 27 percentage-point lead over Trump amongst the Marylanders surveyed. 

“That Hogan and Trump share equivalent proportions of support among Maryland voters suggests that Alsobrooks’ portrait of Hogan as an extreme Republican has been persuasive in these final weeks,” said Rohin Mishra, APAN graduate student and manager of the survey.

When asked to rank which issues were most important to them during this election, respondents said that the economy (27.4%), immigration (17.3%) and abortion (9.2%) were their top concerns. And about that latter issue, 51% said that they  support “legal and generally available” abortion services over other policy options that would impose restrictions. 

A greater share of respondents said that they support the on-the-ballot question of amending the state constitution to protect reproductive freedom: 75% said they support the change, 17.5% that they do not, 6.3% said they were undecided, and 1.2% said they will not vote on the measure.

“This poll tells a story of voters who are actually in great agreement on the major contests on their ballot this year,” said Mishra. “Despite intense political and social polarization in our country, these results are reflective of a shared vision for Maryland’s future.”
View Additional Poll Insights Here

Published on Mon, Nov 4, 2024 - 1:39PM